Yahoo has some options when it comes to potential ownership suitors.SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - For Yahoo Inc to avoid Microsoft Corp's bear hug, it could potentially partner with companies ranging from eBay Inc to Comcast Corp, though an alternative deal would be unlikely to match the Microsoft offer.
Retailer Amazon.com Inc, iPod maker Apple Inc and phone company AT&T Inc all could argue that integrating Yahoo's services and ads would be
strategically smart, and some already have Internet-advertising
partnerships with Yahoo.
None, however, is expected to be able to compete financially with
Microsoft, whose offer is now worth about $41 billion, making the
alternative deals longshots at best.
Web auction leader eBay struck a multiyear partnership in 2006 with
Yahoo, centered on search and advertising, online payments and call
functions.
A merger could further benefit eBay if it integrated its Web
auctions with Yahoo's search technology, said Brian Bolan, an analyst
with Jackson Securities. It could also yield cost savings for eBay on
Internet search advertising and merge users of Yahoo's email and
instant messaging services with eBay's Skype users, he said.
"But such a deal wouldn't solve the question of how you could make
online search better, and that's why you would want to buy Yahoo,"
Bolan said.
Also, eBay -- which recently announced a new chief executive -- is
itself facing challenges in reinvigorating its auction site and would
have to raise debt to buy Yahoo at a higher price, making it an
unlikely acquirer, analysts said.
One analyst suggested that Yahoo might find a "natural home" in Apple since it was unlikely Yahoo could stand alone.
"It may be that (Yahoo's) focus on controlling a customer experience
means they will finally end up in the arms of Apple," said Colin Tyler,
a director at OC&C Strategy Consultants.
A deal between Apple and Yahoo would center on Yahoo providing
mobile applications for iPhones, some analysts said. Apple and Google
Inc already work together to provide iPhone users with an array of mobile applications, from maps to mail.
But Trip Chowdhry, an analyst at Global Equities Research, said such
a deal wouldn't generate much revenue for Yahoo because "any two high
school kids could come up with a cool mobile application."
A deal focused on combining Yahoo's other assets is even more
unlikely, since Apple makes much of its money from trendy gadgets and
Steve Jobs has not indicated he is interested in the Internet-based
services such as e-mail, search, messaging and advertising for which
Yahoo is best known.
Instead, Chowdhry forwarded the idea that Web marketplace Amazon.com
might have already talked with Yahoo about an alliance, whereby Yahoo
would close its ailing e-commerce business or merge it with
Amazon.com's in the same way that it recently closed its online music
business and migrated customers to RealNetworks Inc's Rhapsody service.
The two could then join forces against eBay and Amazon could benefit
from incorporating Yahoo search and advertising functions on its site,
Chowdhry said.
A Yahoo official declined to comment and an Amazon official did not return a call seeking comment.
Yahoo already has display-advertising deals with communications
companies AT&T and Comcast, which also could see value in a closer
alliance with Yahoo.
AT&T customers can access Yahoo search on their mobile phones
and computers as part of their deal, and the two companies have agreed
to share revenue.
Under Yahoo's deal with Comcast, the search company sells online video and display ads on Comcast's Web portal.
"Comcast has pushed very heavily into a variety of Internet-based
services and so could theoretically benefit from Yahoo's footprint in
communications, content delivery and broadband penetration," said one
analyst who declined to be named because he was speculating.
Rob Sanderson, an analyst at American Technology Research, agreed that Comcast could be a bidder.
"While the synergies are less direct and its share price was 20
percent higher at the time, recall that Comcast made a $66 billion bid
for Disney in February '04," Sanderson said.
Since Microsoft made its buyout offer for Yahoo public on February
1, Yahoo has talked with at least three potential partners, including
News Corp, Google and Time Warner Inc's AOL, according to sources and press reports.
Analysts doubted that any of these companies except News Corp could
cough up the cash to rival Microsoft's cash-and-stock offer, which was
originally valued at $31 a share and put a 62 percent premium on
Yahoo's stock price.
Analysts also said the size of the Microsoft bid diminishes the chance of private equity coming in with a higher offer.
Yahoo, meanwhile, has not publicly discussed any of these talks but
has said its board continues to review all strategic options.
Two Yahoo shareholders who declined to be named said they were
unwilling to consider the idea of an alternative deal, saying it was
unlikely a better offer would emerge.
"There is no way large institutional shareholders are going to
accept business as usual versus a transaction" with Microsoft, said one
investor who owns both Yahoo and Microsoft shares. "And I can't fathom
what the alternative is," she said.
(Editing by Gerald E. McCormick)
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