Experts weigh-in on the current state of the Microsoft and Yahoo deal.SEATTLE (Reuters)
- Two weeks after Microsoft Corp abandoned its pursuit of Yahoo Inc, a
proxy fight launched by activist investor Carl Icahn has put Microsoft
in the driver's seat.
Icahn wants Yahoo to reopen talks with Microsoft, saying the
company's board had acted "irrationally" when it rejected Microsoft's
$47.5 billion buyout offer. Microsoft walked away from the deal earlier
this month when Yahoo rejected its final offer of $33 a share, holding
out for at least $37 a share.
"With Yahoo being pushed by shareholders to get back to the table,
you would think it's just what Microsoft wanted," said Marc Weingarten,
an attorney with Schulte Roth & Zabel.
For its part, Microsoft has declined to comment on Icahn's actions.
A company spokesman repeated the same message that its executives have
said over the last two weeks: it had moved on.
Still, Icahn has opened the door for Microsoft to swoop in as white
knight and buy Yahoo in a friendly deal without instigating the proxy
battle it had threatened.
"Microsoft can come directly back to the Yahoo board and save them
from the proxy contest, save them from all the criticism that they are
getting," said Weingarten.
Microsoft's motivation for buying Yahoo -- to create an online
advertising powerhouse to rival Google Inc -- remains intact. The
alternatives of a build-from-within strategy and a piece-by-piece
acquisition strategy could bring significant risk.
MICROSOFT SHOULD WAIT
Mergers and acquisitions experts said it would be wise for Microsoft
to lie low and see if pressure from Icahn and other activist investors
will prompt Yahoo's board to turn to Microsoft with hat in hand.
"The whole strategy for Microsoft, in an M&A sense, was to say
'fine, we take our bat and ball and go home.' You don't want to say
that and then be seen popping out of the house and looking down the
block for your former playmates," said Marshall Sonenshine, Chairman of
New York-based investment bank Sonenshine Partners.
"If they have any intention of coming back, they shouldn't say
anything. If they don't have any intention, then they have nothing to
say," said Sonenshine, who sees the deal getting done at a price
slightly above $33 a share.
Sonenshine said an eventual Microsoft-Yahoo deal may play out like News Corp's acquisition of Dow Jones.
The Bancroft family, which controlled Dow Jones, balked at News
Corp's $5.6 billion bid, but the 65 percent premium proved too
attractive for many family members to resist, especially after it
eliminated the possibility of competing bids.
Similarly, shareholders may push Yahoo to accept Microsoft's
$33-a-share bid, a 72 percent premium on Yahoo's share price before
Microsoft went public with its hostile bid on February 1, especially if
no other viable offers emerge.
Shares of Yahoo fell below $23 after Microsoft pulled its offer.
Yahoo's two largest shareholders, Capital Research Management and Legg
Mason, have signaled displeasure with how the company handled
negotiations with Microsoft.
In a response to Icahn, Yahoo Chairman Roy Bostock defended the
board's actions and said it continues to "actively and expeditiously
explore strategic alternatives."
"What's unusual about this is that the Yahoo board said, 'no, this
is not good enough, and we're just going to go back to being a
company.' The stock collapsed and that honked off a lot of
shareholders," said Bob Profusek, head of the mergers and acquisitions
practice at law firm Jones Day.
"Everybody is fixated on the Microsoft bid, but causing something
else to happen that would create short-term shareholder value could
also be a pay day for (Icahn)."
Historically, companies targeted in a hostile takeover bid would
issue a special dividend, a major share buyback or another measure to
ease the blow from a fall in the share price if a deal collapsed,
according to Profusek.
(Additional reporting by Robert MacMillan and Paritosh Bansal in New York; Editing by Gary Hill)
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