Gartner revises its growth forecast for the mobile handset market, and the revision is downward.HELSINKI (Reuters)
- The global economic slowdown has started to crimp demand for new
cellphones, leading top handset research house Gartner to lower its
market growth forecast, and top phone-charger maker Salcomp to warn on
profits.
Research firm Gartner cut its forecast for the cellphone market to
10-11 percent. At the end of May Gartner forecast 10-15 percent more
phones would be sold this year.
"In the last month however, the economic environment started to
negatively impact emerging markets as well as mature," Carolina
Milanesi, head of mobile device research at Gartner, told Reuters on
Monday.
Last year cellphone market volumes grew 16 percent year on year.
In April Nokia (NOK1V.HE: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz),
the world's largest cellphone maker, warned the value of the cellphone
market would decline in 2008 in euro terms, meaning average prices are
falling more than volumes are increasing.
"Signals for a weaker than expected second quarter have arrived from
Sony Ericsson as well as some component manufacturers," Milanesi said.
The world's fifth largest phone maker, Sony Ericsson (6758.T: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz),
warned on June 27 it would make no profit in the April-June quarter due
to weaker demand for its more expensive phones, and said the market was
challenging.
"Despite expecting a stronger second half, we feel that the weakness
of the first half has pulled the overall year growth down to 10-11
percent," Milanesi said.
SHARES
Shares in Nokia and Ericsson (ERICb.ST: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)
fell after the news, but later reversed the losses. By 1207 GMT Nokia
was up 2 percent at 16.37 euros and Ericsson up 1.2 percent at 65.20
Swedish crowns, compared with a 1.6 percent higher Dow Jones Stoxx
technology index .
Salcomp (SAL1V.HE: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz),
the world's top maker of cellphone chargers, warned its 2008 operating
profit would fall from last year's level, citing expectations of weaker
volumes during the second half of the year.
Shares in Salcomp slumped 13.9 percent to 2.84 euros.
"As our clients have lowered their monthly forecasts for the
products we supply chargers for, our sales growth in the second half is
not as fast as we expected earlier," Salcomp Chief Financial Officer
Antti Salminen told Reuters.
He said the firm -- which supplies chargers to the top five vendors
-- does not expect to lose market share to rivals in the second half
and its stocks are at normal levels, and cautioned against making
direct conclusions about global cellphone demand from its warning.
Nokia will be the first of the top phone vendors to report,
releasing its April-June numbers on July 17, a day before Sony
Ericsson. LG Electronics will report on July 21, Samsung on July 25 and
Motorola on July 31.
Nokia is expected to report a 16 percent earnings rise due to strong
demand in emerging markets, yet its comments on the impact of slowing
growth is likely to set the tone for its shares.
(Reporting by Tarmo Virki; Editing by Quentin Bryar and Sue Thomas)
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