1. Twitter WithersPREDICTION: “Twitter, as we know it, will fade away. Either acquired or shut down. . . . At some point, someone will step up and yell "Tulips!"CNBC TechCheck: Predictions 2010
“Never make predictions, especially about the future,” said (supposedly) Casey Stengel, the New York Yankees manager famous both for winning and for saying zany but pithy things. The five technology mavens cited here should have thought about that before stepping up to the prognostication plate. But predictions are an editorial staple; these were just whiffs instead of home runs. Of course, some bad predictions are not really all that bad—maybe they’re just ahead of the curve. Take the prediction about a security-based cloud-computing disaster that was to have taken place in 2010: It didn’t happen, but that doesn’t mean it someday won’t happen. Then there are the predictions that that are dead right off the bat—like comparing Twitter to the Tulip mania that spread through Holland in the 17th century. No pundits we, but we feel pretty sure Twitter will have feathers in the social media game for some time to come. Here, then, are five flawed tech predictions, coupled with the reality that emerged as the year unfolded.
Tim Moran is a freelance writer for Baseline magazine.
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