Tech Results: So Far So Good, Not Out of Woods Yet (
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Technology-company earnings have, so far, been holding their own or outperforming. What's to come? SAN FRANCISCO
(Reuters) - Phew! The first week of the technology earnings season is
over, and many are breathing a sigh of relief because, by and large,
the numbers and forecasts from some sector heavyweights were not as bad
as expected.
Some were even better than that.
Shares of IBM (IBM.N: Quote, Profile, Research), Intel Corp (INTC.O: Quote, Profile, Research) and Google Inc (GOOG.O: Quote, Profile, Research)
all rallied after the companies posted results, though plenty of
uncertainty remains, and Wall Street estimates for the second quarter
may well be taken down another notch.
Intel, the world's largest chipmaker, said its core microprocessor
business was "strong" at the moment, and Chief Executive Paul Otellini,
who was in Europe two weeks ago, said he saw no red flags either there
or at home.
"From an economic standpoint, the two most mature of our markets
(Europe and the United States) are not showing any signs of weakness,"
he said on the company's conference call. "I did not pick up anything."
Google and IBM said much the same thing. "We're well positioned for
2008 and beyond, regardless of the business environment," said the Web
search giant's CEO, Eric Schmidt.
"Second-quarter guidance has been fine, and estimates are generally
not falling as many feared," said Justin McNichols, a portfolio manager
at Osborne Partners Capital Management in San Francisco.
"Entering the first-quarter earnings season, 2008 estimates for the
S&P Tech sector .SPLY were for a 6 percent year-over-year
increase," he said. "Going into earnings, sentiment was this number was
not achievable. Coming out of earnings, it appears at least the first
half is achievable."
SHOES COULD DROP
But there are still shoes that could drop. The weaker economy is
forcing U.S. consumers to find ways to cut their phone bills, for
example, likely limiting profit growth for the likes of AT&T Inc
(T.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Verizon Communications Inc
(VZ.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
Top mobile phone maker Nokia (NOK1V.HE: Quote, Profile, Research)(NOK.N: Quote, Profile, Research)
rattled the market on Thursday by partly blaming the U.S. economy for
an estimated drop in the global mobile phone market in euro terms in
2008.
"We're not done seeing some more pain, but that just might be in
some of the specific end markets," said Henry Asher, president of New
York-based money manager Northstar Group. "The consumer has pulled back
so sharply."
Market research firm NPD Group on Friday released a study showing
that in just two months, the number of consumers who believe the U.S.
economy is in or heading toward a recession or slowdown rose to 84
percent from 79 percent.
"Consumers are generally the last to react to economic downturns;
they don't want to halt or cut back on spending, but it is clear
they're beginning to throttle back," said Marshal Cohen, NPD's chief
industry analyst.
Technology-company earnings have, so far, been holding their own or outperforming. What's to come? SAN FRANCISCO
(Reuters) - Phew! The first week of the technology earnings season is
over, and many are breathing a sigh of relief because, by and large,
the numbers and forecasts from some sector heavyweights were not as bad
as expected.
Some were even better than that.
Shares of IBM (IBM.N: Quote, Profile, Research), Intel Corp (INTC.O: Quote, Profile, Research) and Google Inc (GOOG.O: Quote, Profile, Research)
all rallied after the companies posted results, though plenty of
uncertainty remains, and Wall Street estimates for the second quarter
may well be taken down another notch.
Intel, the world's largest chipmaker, said its core microprocessor
business was "strong" at the moment, and Chief Executive Paul Otellini,
who was in Europe two weeks ago, said he saw no red flags either there
or at home.
"From an economic standpoint, the two most mature of our markets
(Europe and the United States) are not showing any signs of weakness,"
he said on the company's conference call. "I did not pick up anything."
Google and IBM said much the same thing. "We're well positioned for
2008 and beyond, regardless of the business environment," said the Web
search giant's CEO, Eric Schmidt.
"Second-quarter guidance has been fine, and estimates are generally
not falling as many feared," said Justin McNichols, a portfolio manager
at Osborne Partners Capital Management in San Francisco.
"Entering the first-quarter earnings season, 2008 estimates for the
S&P Tech sector .SPLY were for a 6 percent year-over-year
increase," he said. "Going into earnings, sentiment was this number was
not achievable. Coming out of earnings, it appears at least the first
half is achievable."
SHOES COULD DROP
But there are still shoes that could drop. The weaker economy is
forcing U.S. consumers to find ways to cut their phone bills, for
example, likely limiting profit growth for the likes of AT&T Inc
(T.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Verizon Communications Inc
(VZ.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
Top mobile phone maker Nokia (NOK1V.HE: Quote, Profile, Research)(NOK.N: Quote, Profile, Research)
rattled the market on Thursday by partly blaming the U.S. economy for
an estimated drop in the global mobile phone market in euro terms in
2008.
"We're not done seeing some more pain, but that just might be in
some of the specific end markets," said Henry Asher, president of New
York-based money manager Northstar Group. "The consumer has pulled back
so sharply."
Market research firm NPD Group on Friday released a study showing
that in just two months, the number of consumers who believe the U.S.
economy is in or heading toward a recession or slowdown rose to 84
percent from 79 percent.
"Consumers are generally the last to react to economic downturns;
they don't want to halt or cut back on spending, but it is clear
they're beginning to throttle back," said Marshal Cohen, NPD's chief
industry analyst.