Federal Reserve Chairman Ben
Bernanke said the central bank will act as needed
to help the struggling economy, but said the Fed has to be
mindful that growth should pick up later in the year.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told
Congress on Thursday the central bank will act as needed to help the
struggling U.S. economy, but it has to be mindful that growth should
pick up later in the year.
The Fed "will be carefully evaluating incoming information bearing
on the economic outlook and will act in a timely manner as needed to
support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside
risks," Bernanke told the Senate Banking Committee.
He said the outlook for the economy had worsened in recent months and risks to growth had picked up.
However, the central bank chairman also said he expects sluggish
growth to give way to a somewhat stronger expansion later this year and
the likely effects of fiscal and monetary stimulus now put in place had
to be considered in determining the appropriate level of interest rates.
"Our policy stance must be determined in light of the medium-term
forecast for real activity and inflation, as well as the risks to that
forecast," he said.
Bernanke painted a somber picture of risks facing the economy and
financial markets saw his comments as keeping the door open to more
interest rate cuts from the Fed, which has already lowered benchmark
borrowing costs by 2.25 percentage points since mid-September. The
federal funds rate now stands at 3 percent.
U.S. short-term interest rate futures prices pared losses to imply a
20 percent chance the central bank will drop rates by three-quarters of
a percentage point in March, up from 6 percent earlier. A half-point
cut is fully expected.
"Policy-makers are clearly ready to provide further monetary easing
to support growth," said Steve Malyon, a currency strategist for Scotia
Capital in Toronto.
Stock prices stayed moderately lower and government bond prices were
steady at lower levels, but the dollar dipped against the euro and the
yen.
WEIGHT ON CONSUMER SPENDING
Bernanke predicted a further drop in home building and related
activities was likely, and said a softer jobs market, higher energy
prices and falling home values could be expected to weigh on consumer
spending in the near term.
At the same time, he noted that inflation had moved up as a result
of soaring prices for oil and food and the weaker dollar, adding that
inflation risks bear close watching.
"To date, inflation expectations appear to have remained reasonably
well anchored, but any tendency of inflation expectations to become
unmoored or for the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility to be eroded
could greatly complicate the task of sustaining price stability and
reduce the central bank's flexibility to counter shortfalls in growth
in the future," he said.
Bernanke's appearance before Congress, flanked by Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson and Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman
Christopher Cox, comes at a time of turmoil.
U.S. economic growth slowed to a meager 0.6 percent annual rate in
the fourth quarter of 2007, house prices have been falling, and in
January the job market shrank for the first time in 53 months.
Large financial institutions have reported substantial losses from
investments tainted by delinquent mortgages, and banks' withdrawal from
lending has amplified the slowdown.
The White House and Congress put together a $168 billion fiscal
stimulus plan, which was signed into law by President George W. Bush on
Wednesday. The plan offers tax rebates to households and incentives for
businesses to invest.
(Additional reporting by Glenn Somerville; Editing by Neil Stempleman)
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