Market Fears

By Reuters -  |  Posted 2008-11-18 Email Print this article Print
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Senate Democrats submitted a $25 billion loan program plan to bailout the automakers. With the year's congressional calendar down to a few days, lawmakers and the Bush administration sparred over the best way to extend help to General Motors, Ford and Chrysler. The senate automaker bailout bill does have conditions attached to it.

MARKET FEARS

A rescue package for U.S. automakers could avert another stock market plunge like the one seen after Lehman Brothers' collapse in September.

"The reason people think failure could be cataclysmic is that there are so many companies that are tied to the auto industry," said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co in San Francisco.

The Senate proposal comes as GM said it would delay incentive payments to its U.S. dealers by two weeks in an effort to "gain some cash liquidity" for the fourth quarter.

The payments for dealer incentives, which are made on a weekly basis, will be delayed from November 28 until December 11, GM spokesman Pete Ternes said.

Liquidity is the key concern for the automakers as their remaining cash reserves dwindle.

"If General Motors is unable to solidify government aid this week and is forced to wait for the next administration, we would become more concerned about working capital related liquidity risks... ," Citigroup autos analyst Itay Michaeli said in a note to clients on Monday.

The companies and their allies in Congress argue a bailout is justified on grounds they back one in 10 U.S. jobs.

GM, Chrysler and Ford employ close to 250,000 people in the United States and supporters claim they touch more than 4 million other jobs including suppliers, dealers, car haulers and rental companies.

Many parts suppliers and dealers have agreements with transplanted automakers as well, potentially interrupting the business of competitors to the Big Three in the short term.

A potential threat to the integrated supplier network prompted Japan's Honda Motor Co Ltd to support an aid package for its U.S. rivals.

BAILOUT SKEPTICISM

But segments of the public disagree that a rescue is in order. In interviews, Americans said the planned rescue was unfair and would make it harder to reform the U.S. automakers.

"They need to restructure. If they get bailed out they are not going to do it," said Eric Smith, a paint contractor interviewed in Chamblee, Georgia, on the outskirts of Atlanta.

U.S. automakers say they are urgently trying to overhaul their businesses to meet a global demand for fuel efficient products, like better performing gasoline engines, electric cars and more hybrids.

But industry executives say they may never get there unless the bailout is approved. They add that the shock of any collapse will shake the economy.

If the auto industry comes under severe pressure, GM Chief Executive Rick Wagoner said in a television interview on Sunday, "the impact on the whole U.S. economy will be devastating."

All three companies have rejected reorganizing under bankruptcy protection.

For the Senate measure to pass, it must gain support from both Democrats and Republicans in the narrowly divided chamber where 60 votes are needed to overcome any procedural hurdles.

Aides and lawmakers have expressed doubt about the Democratic effort with so little time and White House opposition.

Nevertheless, two prominent Republicans senators signaled they would be willing to consider a plan. Pennsylvania's Arlen Specter said he was open to supporting the automakers under certain conditions, and Christopher Bond of Missouri, expressed a similar sentiment and said action was needed now.

"I'm pleased to see there seems to be broad support for assisting the auto industry despite disagreements," Bond said.

Bush, whose limousine is made by GM, opposes a bailout using Treasury rescue funds that the administration argues are, by law, intended only for distressed financial services companies.

President-elect Barack Obama, who will be sworn in January 20, has encouraged an aid package, but not a blank check. Obama has said conditions should also include labor, suppliers and lenders so that "we are creating a bridge loan to somewhere, as opposed to a bridge loan to nowhere."

Shares of GM closed up 5.7 percent to $3.18 on the New York Stock Exchange, while Ford slipped 4.4 percent to $1.72. Chrysler is privately held by Cerberus Capital Management LP

(Additional reporting by David Bailey and Soyoung Kim in Detroit, Tom Ferraro and Rick Cowan in Washington, Matthew Bigg in Atlanta, Andrea Hopkins in Greensburg, Indiana and Patrick Fitzgibbons in New York; editing by Mohammad Zargham and Tim Dobbyn)



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